Sunday, 27 March 2016

The Whistling Shrew - Irish Grand National Preview


5:00 – Fairyhouse – Irish Grand National, 3m5f

After a successful Cheltenham Festival and Easter, we turn our thoughts to the close of the jumps season with this bonus Whistling Shrew, focussing solely on the Irish Grand National, which should whet the appetite for the big event at Aintree in a fortnight’s time!

There is a wide open contest as ever for the Irish Grand National with 29 expected to go to post including last year’s winner Thunder and Roses. Gigginstown will be hopeful of following up again with no fewer than 8 of the runners going in their colours. If only we knew the pecking order as far as hat colours were concerned beyond the first two it would make this a bit easier, but we can probably assume the purple jacket and red hat combo of Wrath of Titans puts him somewhere near the bottom of that list.

J P McManus runs a meagre 4, with Kim Muir winner Cause of Causes topping the weights. Noel Meade only sent 2 horses to Cheltenham both of who ran well and he has a couple of likeable sorts here in Bonny Kate and Tulsa Jack. They are two of several who seem likely sorts in a race that often goes to experienced progressive novices.

Shrew’s Shrewdies

4 Against The Field: Venetian De Mai 9/1, Another Hero 11/1, Bless The Wings 16/1, My Murphy 16/1

Runner By Runner Guide

1.       Cause of Causes

Ridden by Barry Geraghty today after quality Cheltenham win. Forecast rain not in his favour and didn’t run to his best last year at Fairyhouse. It would take a big weight carrying performance to go close here.

2.       Mala Beach

Will go well on the softer ground. A lot of weight to carry but has gone well here before and would’ve won the Bobby Jo if he didn’t fall at the last time out. Not hugely experienced and progression seems to have eased. Considered but others preferred.

3.       My Murphy

Form seemed to drop off slightly when asked to step up to CD last year. Better over a slightly shorter trip. Does hold Mala Beach based on their Thyste’s form and will prefer conditions. Has a lot of runs under his belt but still seems to be progressing. Shortlisted.

4.       Living Next Door

Won the Paddy Power in 2014, best form seemed to have come at Cheltenham last year. Would be surprised if he was up to this.

5.       Sub Lieutenant

Bryan Cooper’s choice of the 8 – Largely consistent over 6 chase starts so far and fair to assume still progressing, not badly treated, considered and shortlisted.

6.       Thunder and Roses

Put up a career best when winning this last year with Katie Walsh in the saddle. Has David Mullins onboard this year and would be the first horse to double up since Brown Lad won ¾ from 1975-78. His form this season though has been patchy at best. His last run showed a little promise but you’d really want to see more. Others preferred.

7.       Bonny Kate*

Jumps beautifully and will most likely go from the front. Seems fairly well treated and in with a chance. Has proven form over a long distance backed up by her Punchestown win and looked like she was still progressive when making it a hattrick at Limerick last time out. Shortlisted.

8.       Rogue Angel

Has failed to complete in 4 starts over longer than 3m since 2014. Leopardstown 4th was fine but more needed and no evidence to suggest it’s coming

9.       Russe Blanc

Kerry Lee scored here first grade 1 success here yesterday with Kylemore Lough and Russe Blanc doesn’t look too badly treated to attempt following up. A very likeable stayer who may find himself outpaced, but I’d expect him to get around and give a good account given latest Warwick win on heavy. Considered, especially if the rains come.

10.   Venetian De Mai

Has risen steeply in the weights for win at Naas last time out. This will be only his 5th start over fences but he was a consistent sort over hurdles and more progression surely to come. Shortlisted.

11.   Another Hero

Even less experienced than Venetian De Mai with just two chase runs under his belt, but they were both wins. Jonjo O’Neill knows what it takes to win this. There is a fear this may be too much too soon, but shortlisted nonetheless.

12.   Baie Des Iles

Can’t decide if he’s a hurdler or chaser, form not quite up to these. Others preferred.

13.   Bless The Wings

A favourite of mine and he ran quite well in 3rd in the cross country at Cheltenham – Ruby Walsh rides which is a positive. He’s an old boy now at 11 but if he can reproduce his Cheltenham run or his CD win from November he’ll go close – chance at hitting the frame at a price. Shortlisted.

14.   Cantlow

Fairly regressive for some time now. May catch him on an on day but those are becoming harder to come by nowadays.

15.   Folsom Blue

Whatever the yellow cap represents it’s probably not the same as the yellow jersey in cycling – inconsistent and best form not even up to this – seems to be better over a shorter distance too.

16.   Killer Crow

A lot of people felt let down Killer Crow didn’t make it into a handicap at Cheltenham after being talked up from a long way out. Last time out he was second to Empire of Dirt who won well at the festival to frank the form. Needs another step up but that’s far from impossible, shortlisted.

17.   Captain Von Trappe

Handicapper hasn’t given him much chance. Others on better marks preferred.

18.   Kilford

Has won well last twice at Navan – This will be an altogether different test. Considered at a price.

19.   Raz De Maree

Good stayer but up against it.

20.   Unic De Bersy

Was progressing nicely and may have had something other than the (3rd choice?) blue cap today if not for the two non-completes putting a stopper in that form line. Could go well if completing.

21.   Jarob

Yet to race over 3m so could be anything over the trip. 2 ½ miles seems more his forte

22.   Portrait King

Too many miles on the clock these days, others preferred.

23.   Ballyadam Approach

Copy and paste from 21! Form not up to the same standard this year.

24.   Bearly Legal

Copy and paste again.

25.   Wrath Of Titans

As previously established, possibly the 8th string…

26.   Tulsa Jack

Horse seemed to peak in November last year, when winning at Cork. Chance if able to recapture that form – shortlisted but I expect his form has dropped off for the year.

27.   Futuramic

Seems quite a way out of the handicap, will need a step up to be taken seriously.

28.   Riverside City

Has the occasional 1 by his name, but you’d expect this group much stronger.



Shortlist: My Murphy, Sub Lieutenant, Bonny Kate, Venetian De Mai, Another Hero, Bless the Wings, Killer Crow

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